Articles

Stock Valuation of PT. Panca Budi Idaman, Tbk. (PBID) based on Free Cash Flow to the Firm and on Relative Valuation

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The stock valuation of PT Panca Budi Idaman, Tbk. (PBID), an Indonesian plastic packaging manufacturer, is evaluated using the absolute and relative valuation. The absolute valuation is based on Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) method. In relative valuation, PBID is compared to its peers, which in this study are IPOL, PDPP, and TRST. Indonesia’s significant economic growth and the vital role of the plastic industry are noting strong demand for plastic packaging despite environmental challenges and regulatory pressures. Financial performance from 2017 to 2023 is assessed through profitability, liquidity, and solvency ratios, demonstrating PBID’s efficient operations and robust financial health. Future cash flows are projected, discounted using PBID’s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC), and the terminal value is calculated. The intrinsic value is estimated at IDR 3,987 per share, indicating undervaluation compared to the current price of IDR 1,325 per share. Relative valuation compares PBID to industry peers using EV/EBITDA, P/E, and P/B ratios, reinforcing the undervaluation finding. Investment recommendations suggest PBID’s stock as a buying opportunity due to its strong market position and favourable valuation metrics.

Infrastructure Spin-Off Decision in the Telecommunication Company: Project Valuation and AHP Analysis

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The telecommunication industry faced a negative headwind due to the emergence of OTT (over the top) services, resulting in lower service prices, limited network-based services, and increased network capex. This led to a scissor effect, with significant growth in capex and stagnant revenue growth. To address this, European operators spun off the service telecommunication company (ServCo) and the telecommunications network provider company (InfraCo, NetCo, and FiberCo), a strategy in the consolidation of the telecommunications industry. One of leading Telco Company in South East Asia currently conducting a diversification strategy review to encourage growth by leveraging its market leadership in the FTTH (Fiber to the Home) business.

                  This study calculates the business potential and valuation of each potential scenario implemented by Telco Company using DCF and conducts a decision analysis using the AHP method to determine the most appropriate scenario. After calculating the projections and valuation, the authors conduct interviews with experts to weigh each criteria required and targeted by ServCo for analysis using AHP.