Abstract :
The Pekanbaru-Dumai Trans Sumatra Toll Road project is an economically feasible project but not financially feasible. This study aims to assess the feasibility of toll roads that have low financial viability. Data analysis involves the relationship between the ability to pay (ATP) and willingness to pay (WTP), as well as financial evaluation using FIRR, NPV, and Payback Period. The results of the study show that the Trans Sumatra toll road Pekanbaru Dumai section needs a financial evaluation. The evaluation showed an average ability to pay (ATP) of IDR 237,461.00 and an average willingness to pay (WTP) of IDR 146,046.00. The research found that the optimal rate is IDR 115,500.00 that users can accept. The Financial Internal Rate of Return (FIRR) of the project based on ATP and WTP rates is 8.97%, indicating a relatively low rate of return compared to the Business Plan. Innovative strategies in operational management, including service efficiency and revenue diversification, can improve financial performance and ensure long-term investment continuity.
Keywords :
Ability to Pay (ATP), Financial Internal Rate of Return (FIRR), Pekanbaru Dumai, Toll Rates, Willingness to Pay (WTP).References :
- Anas, R., Sembiring, I. S., & Puji Hastuty, I. (2020). Evaluation of toll rates based on ATP / WTP and BKBOK case studies: Medan-Binjai and Medan-tebing tinggi toll roads. IOP Conference Series: Materials Science and Engineering, 801(1), 012011.
- Blumberg, B., Cooper, D. R., & Schindler, P. S. (2014). Business research methods. London: McGraw-Hill Education. Badan Pengatur Jalan Tol. (2020). Data Jalan Tol di Indonesia. https://bpjt.pu.go.id/ Badan Pusat Statistik. (2024). Statistik Transportasi Darat 2023.
- Badan Pusat Statistik. (2019). Statistik Transportasi Darat 2018. https://www.bps.go.id/
- Chen, A., and Subprasom, K. (2007). “Analysis of Regulation and Policy of Private Toll Roads in a Build-operate-transfer Scheme under Demand Uncertainty.” Transportation Research Part A, 41, 537-558.
- Cooper, R., & Ellwood, S. (2016). Business research. 10th ed. Sage Publications.
- Ginting, I. A., Hutahaean, S. E., & Oktaviani, T. (2023). Analisis Tarif Tol Medan-Stabat. Prosiding Konferensi Nasional Social & Engineering Polmed (KONSEP), 4(1), 874-882.
- Jaya, F. H., Dewi, S. U., & Ardhani, A. (2022). Analisis Penentuan Tarif jalan tol ruas Sigli – Banda Aceh Menggunakan Pendekatan ATP (ability to pay) dan WTP (willingnes to pay). TAPAK (Teknologi Aplikasi Konstruksi) : Jurnal Program Studi Teknik Sipil, 11(2), 101. doi:10.24127/tp.v11i2.2022
- Jia, Y.-H., & Tian, Z. Z. (2002). Toll rates and related factors on China’s highways. Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 1812(1), 22–26.
- Jou, R.-C., Chiou, Y.-C., Chen, K.-H., & Tan, H.-I. (2012). Freeway drivers’ willingness-to-pay for a distance-based toll rate. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 46(3), 549–559.
- Levinson, D., & Yerra, B. (2002). Highway costs and efficient mix of state and local funds. Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 1812(1), 27–34.
- Mitasari, W., & Iskandar, D. A. (2020). Evaluasi Kelayakan Ekonomi proyek Pembangunan Jalan tol trans sumatera ruas bakauheni – Terbanggi Besar melalui cost benefit analysis. JURNAL RISET PEMBANGUNAN, 3(1), 34–45. doi:10.36087/jrp.v3i1.71
- Nicolini-Llosa, J. L. (2002). Toll road concessions in Argentina: What can be learned. Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 1812(1), 10–21.
- Panou, K. (2020). An empirical model for setting and adjusting road-toll rates based on optimized equity and affordability strategies. Case Studies on Transport Policy, 8(4), 1256–1269.
- Vajdic, N., Mladenovic, G., & Queiroz, C. (2012). Estimating minimum toll rates in public private partnerships. Procedia – Social and Behavioral Sciences, 48, 3400–3407.
- Vajdic, N., Mladenovic, G., & Queiroz, C. (2017). Probabilistic approach to evaluate acceptable toll rates in road concessions. Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 2670(1), 9–15.
- World Bank & the Public-Private Infrastructure Advisory Facility (PPIAF) (2009). Toolkit for PPP in roads and highways. World Bank, Washington D.C. Available from: http://www.ppiaf.org/ppiaf/sites/ppiaf.org/files/documents/toolkits/highwaystoolkit/index.html
- Wu, C., Hu, H., & Zhang, Y. (2019). Financial feasibility analysis of transportation infrastructure projects with uncertainty in construction costs and revenues: A real options approach. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 126, 15-32.
- Yan, J., Small, K. A., & Sullivan, E. C. (2002). Choice models of route, occupancy, and time of day with value-priced tolls. Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 1812(1), 69–77.
- Yang, H., and Meng, Q. (2000). “Highway pricing and capacity choice in a road network under a build-operate-transfer scheme.” Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 34(3), 207-222.